What This KB Covers
The conflict began February 28, 2026 with U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure. The Strait of Hormuz — carrying ~20 mbd oil (22% of global maritime trade) and 22% of global LNG — effectively shut down. Transit collapsed from ~130 ships/day to ~6 ships/day. Collective production shut-ins reached 9.1 mbd in April 2026 (EIA).
The knowledge base tracks the following research threads:
- Supply destruction — extent of production shut-ins, inventory drawdowns, OPEC+ response
- Price impact — physical vs. futures market disconnect, the unprecedented $50+/bbl basis spread
- European exposure — LNG infrastructure, energy security, policy response
- Daily briefs — curated intelligence from analysts and on-the-ground sources