June 25, 2026 — Daily Digest

Status: CRISIS TRANSITIONING — Ceasefire Holding, Partial Recovery Underway

Key Developments

Hormuz: First Post-MoU Transits

  • First vessels transit Strait of Hormuz under new toll-free 60-day regime following June 17 MoU
  • US naval blockade of Iranian ports lifted immediately upon MoU signing
  • Iranian oil exports resume for first time since blockade began ~April 2026

Oil Market Response

  • Brent: ~$73–74/barrel (modest decline from June peak of $86)
  • Market pricing in supply recovery; forward curve weakening

Ceasefire Status

  • Ceasefire holding but fragile
  • Both sides maintaining military positions
  • Indirect US-Iran talks ongoing via Qatar/Omni channel

Sources

  • CNN reporting (July 1 summary citing June 25 developments)
  • Straits.live daily tracker data